WATCHES: Severe Thunderstorm Watch Number 127

WWUS20 KWNS 021745
SEL7
SPC WW 021745
ARZ000-LAZ000-OKZ000-TXZ000-030000-

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH NUMBER 127
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1245 PM CDT MON APR 2 2012

THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF

SOUTHERN ARKANSAS
NORTHERN LOUISIANA
SOUTHEAST OKLAHOMA
NORTHEAST TEXAS

EFFECTIVE THIS MONDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING FROM 1245 PM UNTIL
700 PM CDT.

HAIL TO 2 INCHES IN DIAMETER...THUNDERSTORM WIND GUSTS TO 70
MPH...AND DANGEROUS LIGHTNING ARE POSSIBLE IN THESE AREAS.

THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 60
STATUTE MILES NORTH AND SOUTH OF A LINE FROM 35 MILES WEST
SOUTHWEST OF PARIS TEXAS TO 50 MILES EAST OF EL DORADO ARKANSAS.
FOR A COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE ASSOCIATED WATCH
OUTLINE UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU7).

REMEMBER...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE
FAVORABLE FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH
AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR
THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS
AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS. SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS CAN AND OCCASIONALLY
DO PRODUCE TORNADOES.

OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 126...

DISCUSSION...WELL-ORGANIZED MCS CONTINUES MOVING NWD ACROSS NERN TX
AND NWRN LA...WITH SOME NEW STORM DEVELOPMENT NOW OCCURRING ON THE
WRN FRINGE OF THE BOWING LINE IN NERN TX. GIVEN THE DEGREE OF
OBSERVED CONVECTIVE ORGANIZATION COMBINED WITH ADDITIONAL AIRMASS
HEATING/DESTABILIZATION AHEAD OF THE CONVECTION WITH TIME...EXPECT
THE STORMS TO CONTINUE PROGRESSING NWD THIS AFTERNOON -- ALONG WITH
ACCOMPANYING THREAT FOR LOCALLY DAMAGING WINDS AND HAIL.

AVIATION...A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT
TO 2 INCHES. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE WIND GUSTS TO 60
KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO 500. MEAN STORM
MOTION VECTOR 18035.

...GOSS

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