MESO: Mesoscale Discussion 0754

ACUS11 KWNS 080216
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 080215
ARZ000-LAZ000-TXZ000-080315-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0754
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0915 PM CDT MON MAY 07 2012

AREAS AFFECTED...NERN TX...SRN AR...NWRN LA

CONCERNING...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 265...266...

VALID 080215Z - 080315Z

THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH
265...266...CONTINUES.

SUMMARY...THUNDERSTORMS WILL CONTINUE TO DRIFT SWD/SEWD AND
GRADUALLY WEAKEN WITH TIME. WW265 WILL BE ALLOWED TO EXPIRE AT 03Z.

DISCUSSION...MUCH OF WW265 HAS BEEN RAIN COOLED/STABILIZED AND MAY
BE REMOVED FROM THE WW. THE REMAINING FEW COUNTIES WILL BE ALLOWED
TO EXPIRE AS STORMS CONTINUE TO PROGRESS INTO/THROUGH NERN TX AND
LA...OUT OF 265 AND INTO/THROUGH 266. THE FRONTAL/OUTFLOW MERGER
CONTINUES TO INITIATE/SUSTAIN CONVECTION. 02Z SFCOA INDICATES
CONVECTIVE INHIBITION IS STRENGTHENING...OWING TO NOCTURNAL COOLING.
SURFACE TEMPERATURES ARE NOW GENERALLY IN THE 70S. AS SUCH...STRONG
TO SEVERE STORMS WILL LIKELY ONLY OCCUR FOR THE NEXT HOUR OR
TWO...WITH A GRADUAL WEAKENING TREND THEREAFTER.

..HURLBUT.. 05/08/2012

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...LZK...SHV...FWD...

LAT...LON 32119543 32909564 32959523 33399508 33379457 33189404
33379344 33719303 33979265 33959228 33389234 32669277
32149278 31989282 31899390 31859499 31949535 32119543

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