ACUS11 KWNS 151707
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 151707
NCZ000-SCZ000-GAZ000-151900-
MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0815
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1207 PM CDT TUE MAY 15 2012
AREAS AFFECTED...MUCH OF SC...SRN NC...NERN GA
CONCERNING...SEVERE POTENTIAL...WATCH POSSIBLE
VALID 151707Z - 151900Z
PROBABILITY OF WATCH ISSUANCE...60 PERCENT
SUMMARY...STORMS WILL INCREASE IN COVERAGE AND INTENSITY OVER THE
NEXT FEW HOURS. SEVERE HAIL AND WIND ARE LIKELY.
DISCUSSION...VISIBLE IMAGERY SHOWS AREAS OF TOWERING CU OVER W CNTRL
SC NEAR A WEAK LOW PRESSURE TROUGH...AS WELL AS OVER ERN SC/SERN NC
NEAR THE SEA BREEZE. WITH STRONG HEATING AND AMPLE
MOISTURE...VIGOROUS UPDRAFTS WILL DEVELOP. WIND PROFILES ARE WEAK IN
THE LOW TO MID LEVELS...BUT WILL INCREASE IN THE MID TO UPPER LEVELS
AS A WEAK SHORTWAVE TROUGH AFFECTS THE AREA. TALL STORMS CAPABLE OF
1.00 - 1.75 INCH DIAMETER HAIL ARE LIKELY...AND SOME STRONG TO
SEVERE WINDS MAY OCCUR WITH DOWNBURSTS...ALTHOUGH AN ORGANIZED WIND
THREAT IS NOT EXPECTED ON THE LARGE SCALE.
..JEWELL/HART.. 05/15/2012
...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...
ATTN...WFO...RAH...ILM...CHS...CAE...GSP...FFC...
LAT...LON 33067939 32788141 33158257 33698297 34508314 35158249
35248179 35298059 35297939 35077842 34277787 33877824
33617879 33067939
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