ACUS11 KWNS 011755
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 011754
NCZ000-SCZ000-011900-
MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1005
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1254 PM CDT FRI JUN 01 2012
AREAS AFFECTED...MUCH OF ERN NC AND ERN SC
CONCERNING...SEVERE POTENTIAL...WATCH LIKELY
VALID 011754Z - 011900Z
PROBABILITY OF WATCH ISSUANCE...95 PERCENT
SUMMARY...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH WILL BE ISSUED SHORTLY FOR MUCH
OF COASTAL NC/SC.
DISCUSSION...BROKEN LINE OF STRONG/SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IS
DEVELOPING FROM NEAR GSO IN NC...SWWD TO THE SC/GA BORDER EAST OF
AGS. THIS ACTIVITY SHOULD CONTINUE TO INCREASE IN INTENSITY AS IT
ENCOUNTERS AN ENVIRONMENT CHARACTERIZED BY STEEP LOW LEVEL LAPSE
RATES AND SBCAPE APPROACHING 2500-3000 J/KG. DEEP LAYER SHEAR ON
THE ORDER OF 35KT SUGGESTS ORGANIZED MULTI-CELL UPDRAFTS AND PERHAPS
EVEN A FEW SUPERCELLS WILL BE COMMON.
..DARROW/CARBIN.. 06/01/2012
...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...
ATTN...WFO...MHX...RAH...ILM...CHS...CAE...GSP...
LAT...LON 33088141 35927985 35707697 34467691 32088025 33088141
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