Saturday, June 2, 2012

MESO: Mesoscale Discussion 1018

ACUS11 KWNS 021522
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 021522
MTZ000-021615-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1018
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1022 AM CDT SAT JUN 02 2012

AREAS AFFECTED...ERN MT

CONCERNING...OUTLOOK UPGRADE

VALID 021522Z - 021615Z

SUMMARY...A CATEGORICAL UPGRADE TO SLIGHT RISK IS PLANNED IN THE
UPCOMING 1630Z DAY-1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK.

DISCUSSION...CLUSTERS OF STORMS IN ADVANCE OF AN EWD-MOVING
SHORTWAVE TROUGH AND ATTENDANT SFC FRONT WILL POSE A THREAT FOR SVR
WIND GUSTS AND HAIL THIS AFTERNOON INTO EARLY EVENING ACROSS ERN
MT...AS MARGINAL DESTABILIZATION COMMENCES AMIDST MODERATE/STRONG
DEEP SHEAR. PLEASE SEE THE FORTHCOMING 1630Z DAY-1 CONVECTIVE
OUTLOOK FOR ADDITIONAL METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS ON THIS
SCENARIO...WHICH WILL INCLUDE A CATEGORICAL UPGRADE TO SLIGHT RISK
ACROSS ERN MT.

..COHEN/CARBIN.. 06/02/2012

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...BYZ...GGW...TFX...

LAT...LON 47040979 48210885 48730781 48750616 47960489 46680490
45800516 45360587 45040748 45200879 46330983 47040979

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