DAY1SVR: Day 1 Convective Outlook

ACUS01 KWNS 140056
SWODY1
SPC AC 140054

DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0754 PM CDT MON AUG 13 2012

VALID 140100Z - 141200Z

...THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS FROM WRN KY/WRN TN SWD INTO
CENTRAL MS/WRN AL AND VICINITY...

...MID MS/TN VALLEY AREA...
A MOIST/MODERATELY UNSTABLE AIRMASS FROM FAR WRN KY SWD ACROSS THE
MID AND LOWER MS VALLEY AREA CONTINUES TO SUPPORT SCATTERED/VIGOROUS
STORMS. THOUGH SHEAR IS PROGGED TO GRADUALLY WEAKEN ACROSS THIS
AREA...AVAILABLE INSTABILITY AND THE SEMI-ORGANIZED NATURE OF THE
CONVECTION ATTM SUGGESTS POTENTIAL FOR A FEW SEVERE WIND/HAIL EVENTS
OVER THE NEXT FEW HOURS -- PARTICULARLY ACROSS THE MS/WRN AL
VICINITY.

...NRN HIGH PLAINS...
ISOLATED STORMS ARE ONGOING ATTM FROM ERN MT/SWRN SD SWED INTO ERN
WY...WHERE MODEST INSTABILITY EXISTS ATOP A FAIRLY DEEP MIXED LAYER.
WHILE POTENTIAL FOR LOCALLY GUSTY WINDS CONTINUES WITH THE STRONGER
CELLS...THREAT SHOULD GRADUALLY WANE AS THE BOUNDARY LAYER
COOLS/DECOUPLES LATER THIS EVENING.

... SERN CO/NERN NM/SWRN KS AND THE TX/OK PANHANDLE REGION...
A GENERALLY DISORGANIZED BAND OF STORMS IS MOVING ESEWD ACROSS NERN
NM/SERN CO/SWRN KS ATTM...THROUGH AIRMASS FEATURING MODEST
INSTABILITY AND A DEEP/DRY BOUNDARY LAYER. WHILE BOUNDARY-LAYER
COOLING LATER THIS EVENING SHOULD BRING AN END TO ANY SEVERE
POTENTIAL...A STRONGER GUST OR TWO REMAIN POSSIBLE FOR THE NEXT
COUPLE OF HOURS.

..GOSS.. 08/14/2012

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