DAY1SVR: Day 1 Convective Outlook

ACUS01 KWNS 160100
SWODY1
SPC AC 160058

DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0758 PM CDT WED AUG 15 2012

VALID 160100Z - 161200Z

...THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS ACROSS PARTS OF THE UPPER MS
VALLEY AREA...

...THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS COASTAL PARTS OF NC/SERN VA...

...UPPER MS VALLEY AREA...
WITH EVENING RAOBS INDICATING A MUCH MORE UNSTABLE BUT CAPPED
AIRMASS FROM SWRN MN SWWD ALONG THE ADVANCING COLD FRONT...THE
PRIMARY SEVERE THREAT SHOULD REMAIN CONFINED TO THE MN/WRN WI REGION
OVERNIGHT. HERE...MODEST INSTABILITY BUT FAVORABLY STRONG FLOW
ALOFT WILL SUPPORT CONTINUED POTENTIAL FOR LOCALLY DAMAGING WINDS
AND PERHAPS MARGINAL HAIL...UNTIL DIURNAL COOLING EFFECTS LATER THIS
EVENING RESULT IN A SLOW DECREASE IN CONVECTIVE INTENSITY.

...NC/SERN VA COASTAL REGION...
CONVECTION CONTINUES MOVING SLOWLY OFFSHORE ACROSS THE ERN U.S.
ATTM. WITH THE COMBINATION OF CONTINUED OFFSHORE MOTION AND A
GRADUAL WEAKENING TREND WITH TIME...POTENTIAL FOR DAMAGING WINDS
AND/OR HAIL APPEARS SHORT-LIVED -- AND CONFINED MAINLY TO ERN NC AND
PERHAPS FAR SERN NEW ENGLAND FOR THE NEXT COUPLE OF HOURS.

..GOSS.. 08/16/2012

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