Monday, September 24, 2012

DAY1SVR: Day 1 Convective Outlook

ACUS01 KWNS 250037
SWODY1
SPC AC 250035

DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0735 PM CDT MON SEP 24 2012

VALID 250100Z - 251200Z

...NO SVR TSTM AREAS FORECAST...

...NERN KS...NRN MO...IL...SRN IND...WRN KY...
GPS PW SENSORS INDICATE MOISTURE CONTINUES TO STREAM NEWD INTO ERN
KS AND MO WITH VALUES OF 1.10 - 1.30 INCHES. THE LOW LEVEL JET WILL
INTENSIFY FURTHER TO OVER 50 KT WITH LIFT FOCUSED FROM NERN KS INTO
NRN MO LATER THIS EVENING. THIS SHOULD RESULT IN MOISTENING AND A
CLUSTER OF CONVECTION BETWEEN 03-06Z. UPSTREAM SOUNDINGS ACROSS NEB
AND KS INDICATE STEEP LAPSE RATES ALOFT WHICH WILL FAVOR HAIL...AND
ALSO COLD DOWNDRAFTS. WITH WINDS INCREASING TO 40-50 KT IN THE
850-500 MB LAYER...STRONG TO SEVERE WINDS MAY OCCUR DESPITE COOL
SURFACE TEMPERATURES.

..JEWELL.. 09/25/2012

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