Saturday, October 27, 2012

DAY1SVR: Day 1 Convective Outlook

ACUS01 KWNS 270406
SWODY1
SPC AC 270404

DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1104 PM CDT FRI OCT 26 2012

VALID 271200Z - 281200Z

...NO TSTM AREAS FORECAST...

...SYNOPSIS...
A BROAD TROUGH EAST OF THE ROCKIES WILL AMPLIFY SLIGHTLY TODAY AND
BECOME NEGATIVELY TILTED ALONG THE MS RIVER INTO THE DEEP SOUTH. A
60-70 KT MID LEVEL JET WILL NOSE INTO THE BASAL PORTION OF THE
TROUGH AROUND THE LOWER MS VALLEY WHILE A SHORTWAVE IMPULSE TRACKS
NWD OUT OF THE OHIO VALLEY ACROSS THE LOWER GREAT LAKES. AT THE
SFC...A COLD FRONT EXTENDING S/SW FROM NY TOWARD THE NRN GULF COAST
WILL BECOME DIFFUSE AND PROVIDE LITTLE FOCUS FOR ANY CONVECTIVE
DEVELOPMENT. FARTHER TO THE EAST...HURRICANE SANDY WILL TRACK NEARLY
PARALLEL TO THE SE ATLANTIC COAST...POSITIONED WELL OFFSHORE AND TO
THE SW OF THE OUTER BANKS BY 12Z SUN. THERMODYNAMIC ENVIRONMENT WILL
BE UNFAVORABLE FOR THUNDERSTORM DEVELOPMENT ALONG THE COAST...WITH
MIDLEVEL SUBSIDENCE ASSOCIATED WITH WRN QUADRANTS OF THE CYCLONE
COMBINING WITH COOLER/DRIER CONTINENTAL AIRMASS IN THE LOW LEVELS.
FOR THE LATEST INFORMATION RELATED TO SANDY...REFERENCE NATIONAL
HURRICANE CENTER PRODUCTS.

..LEITMAN/KERR.. 10/27/2012

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