Wednesday, October 3, 2012

DAY1SVR: Day 1 Convective Outlook

ACUS01 KWNS 040041
SWODY1
SPC AC 040039

DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0739 PM CDT WED OCT 03 2012

VALID 040100Z - 041200Z

...NO SVR TSTM AREAS FORECAST...

...CNTRL PLAINS THROUGH MID MS VALLEY REGION...

A FEW HIGH BASED AND ELEVATED STORMS ARE DEVELOPING WITHIN A ZONE OF
STRONG FRONTOGENETIC FORCING OVER SRN NEB AND NWRN KS WITHIN AN
ENVIRONMENT CHARACTERIZED BY STEEP MID LEVEL LAPSE RATES BUT VERY
LIMITED LOW LEVEL MOISTURE AND INSTABILITY. ACTIVITY WILL SPREAD
SEWD OVERNIGHT...BUT SEVERE WEATHER IS NOT ANTICIPATED.

...ELSEWHERE...

OTHER STORMS DEVELOPING IN ASSOCIATION WITH UPPER LOW CIRCULATION
OVER THE LOWER MS...TN AND MID MS VALLEY REGIONS WILL GRADUALLY
DIMINISH LATER THIS EVENING AS THE BOUNDARY LAYER STABILIZES.

OTHERWISE...SCATTERED SHOWERS AND STORMS WILL PERSIST INTO TONIGHT
WITHIN PLUME OF DEEP SUBTROPICAL MOISTURE FROM FL INTO THE COASTAL
CAROLINAS.

..DIAL.. 10/04/2012

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