ACUS48 KWNS 230852
SWOD48
SPC AC 230851
DAY 4-8 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0351 AM CDT TUE OCT 23 2012
VALID 261200Z - 311200Z
...DISCUSSION...
00Z ECMWF/GEFS/UKMET REMAIN IN GOOD AGREEMENT REGARDING THE GRADUAL
EASTWARD-SHIFT OF A LONGWAVE TROUGH OVER THE CENTRAL/EASTERN CONUS
THROUGH THIS WEEKEND. A COLD FRONT IS EXPECTED TO SPREAD
EAST-SOUTHEASTWARD ACROSS THE EAST-CENTRAL CONUS THROUGH DAYS 4-6
/FRIDAY-SUNDAY/. TSTMS MAY REMAIN POSSIBLE ALONG THE COLD FRONT
INTO DAY 4/FRIDAY FOR AREAS SUCH OF THE MID-SOUTH/ARKLATEX. WHILE
SOME STRONG TSTMS MIGHT BE POSSIBLE...AN ORGANIZED/CONSEQUENTIAL
SEVERE RISK IS NOT CURRENTLY ANTICIPATED.
THEREAFTER...AS DRY/COLD CONDITIONS PREVAIL EAST OF THE
ROCKIES...RELATIVELY QUIESCENT CONDITIONS WITH RESPECT TO
DEEP CONVECTION ARE GENERALLY ANTICIPATED THROUGH THE WEEKEND INTO
EARLY NEXT WEEK.
..GUYER.. 10/23/2012
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