DAY1SVR: Day 1 Convective Outlook

ACUS01 KWNS 131550
SWODY1
SPC AC 131548

DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0948 AM CST TUE NOV 13 2012

VALID 131630Z - 141200Z

...NO SVR TSTM AREAS FORECAST...

...SYNOPSIS/FORECAST...
ZONAL FLOW WILL PREVAIL ACROSS MOST OF THE CONUS WHILE A WEAK
SHORTWAVE TROUGH PROGRESSES ACROSS NM/W TX THIS AFTERNOON AND INTO
THE LWR MS VALLEY BY 12Z/WED. HIGH PRESSURE HAS SETTLED IN ACROSS
MUCH OF CNTRL/ERN CONUS IN THE WAKE OF A COLD FRONT WHICH NOW
EXTENDS FROM ME SSWWD INTO THE FL PANHANDLE AND THEN SWWD ACROSS THE
CNTRL GULF. AS A RESULT...MOST OF THE TSTM ACTIVITY IS EXPECTED TO
REMAIN OFF THE E COAST. THE ONLY EXCEPTIONS ARE CNTRL FL... WHERE
MODEST BOUNDARY LAYER MOISTURE...DAYTIME HEATING...AND WEAK
INSTABILITY MAY RESULT IN ISOLATED TSTMS...AND S TX.

NM SHORTWAVE WILL SLIGHTLY STRENGTHEN AS IT MOVES EWD...PROVIDING
MODEST LIFT ACROSS S TX. ONGOING ELEVATED SHOWERS AND TSTMS ACROSS S
TX ARE SUPPORTED BY THIS INCREASING LIFT AND A VERY THIN MOIST LAYER
AROUND 750 MB /PER 12Z DRT RAOB/. GIVEN THE CURRENT TRENDS PLUS
EXPECTATION OF CONTINUED LIFT AND AT LEAST SOME MOISTURE ADVECTION
AHEAD OF THE SHORTWAVE...ADDED GENERAL THUNDER ACROSS A PORTION OF S
TX.

..MOSIER/KERR.. 11/13/2012

+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-
To unsubscribe from WX-STORM send e-mail to LISTSERV@LISTSERV.ILLINOIS.EDU with
"unsub wx-storm" in the body of your message. For more information write cnovy@cox.net.