DAY1SVR: Day 1 Convective Outlook

ACUS01 KWNS 240036
SWODY1
SPC AC 240034

DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0634 PM CST FRI NOV 23 2012

VALID 240100Z - 241200Z

...NO SVR TSTM AREAS FORECAST...

...SYNOPSIS/FORECAST...
ISOLATED TO SCATTERED THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY FROM THE MIDDLE AND
LOWER TX COAST ACROSS DEEP SOUTH TX WILL BE SHUNTED SWD TOWARD THE
COASTAL WATERS AND INTERNATIONAL BORDER THROUGH THE OVERNIGHT HOURS
AS A SYNOPTIC COLD FRONT CONTINUES TO SHIFT SWD. SLOW STORM
MOTIONS...IN ASSOCIATION WITH AOB 15 KT OF FLOW THROUGH THE
LOWER/MIDDLE PORTIONS OF THE CLOUD LAYER PER THE 00Z BROWNSVILLE
RAOB...WILL SUPPORT LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL. HOWEVER...WITHIN AN
ANAFRONTAL REGIME...CONVECTION WILL BE UNDERCUT BY THE FRONT TO
LIMIT STORM INTENSITY AMIDST WEAK MID-LEVEL LAPSE RATES PER THE 00Z
BROWNSVILLE RAOB...AND SVR STORMS ARE UNLIKELY THROUGH THE REMAINDER
OF THE PERIOD. ELSEWHERE...STABLE THERMODYNAMIC PROFILES WILL
PREVENT THE DEVELOPMENT OF THUNDERSTORMS.

..COHEN/DARROW.. 11/24/2012

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