DAY1SVR: Day 1 Convective Outlook

ACUS01 KWNS 161940
SWODY1
SPC AC 161938

DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0138 PM CST FRI NOV 16 2012

VALID 162000Z - 171200Z

...NO SVR TSTM AREAS FORECAST...

...SYNOPSIS...
CURRENT FORECAST REMAINS ON TRACK...AS A WEAK TROUGH CONTINUES
SHIFTING SEWD ACROSS THE SERN U.S. AND A SECOND/STRONGER FEATURE
DIGS SEWD OUT OF THE GULF OF AK TOWARD THE PAC NW. ANY APPRECIABLE
POTENTIAL FOR THUNDER WILL REMAIN CONFINED TO THE FL VICINITY THE
REMAINDER OF THIS PERIOD...AHEAD OF THE AFOREMENTIONED SERN U.S.
TROUGH. HOWEVER...WITH THE OVERALL ENVIRONMENT FEATURING WEAK
INSTABILITY AND A LACK OF FLOW ALOFT...CONDITIONS REMAIN
UNSUPPORTIVE OF ORGANIZED STORMS.

..GOSS.. 11/16/2012

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 0951 AM CST FRI NOV 16 2012/

...SYNOPSIS...
FAIRLY QUIET WEATHER WILL CONTINUE ACROSS THE COUNTRY TODAY. A
SHORTWAVE TROUGH WILL CONTINUE TO TRACK SEWD OUT OF THE OZARK
PLATEAU TOWARD THE NRN GULF COAST. MODEST MOISTURE RETURN AND SFC
HEATING AHEAD OF THE SHORTWAVE IN THE VICINITY OF A STATIONARY
BOUNDARY ACROSS PORTIONS OF SRN AND ERN FL WILL RESULT IN WEAK
INSTABILITY THIS AFTERNOON AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS ARE POSSIBLE
INTO THE NIGHTTIME HOURS. FARTHER WEST...ANOTHER SHORTWAVE IMPULSE
WILL MOVE TOWARD THE CNTRL CA COAST. STEEP LAPSE RATES AND ADEQUATE
INSTABILITY MAY ALLOW FOR SHALLOW CONVECTION WITH A STRIKE OR TWO OF
LIGHTNING POSSIBLE NEAR THE SAN FRANSISCO BAY/ADJACENT CNTRL CA
COASTAL AREAS.

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