DAY1SVR: Day 1 Convective Outlook

ACUS01 KWNS 060103
SWODY1
SPC AC 060102

DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0702 PM CST MON NOV 05 2012

VALID 060100Z - 061200Z

...THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS ACROSS PORTIONS OF SRN LA AND
EXTREME SERN TX...

...EXTREME SERN TX/SRN LA...
PRONOUNCED HEIGHT FALLS ASSOCIATED WITH A STRONG SEWD-MOVING
SHORTWAVE OVER THE LOWER MS VALLEY EARLY THIS EVENING WILL CONTINUE
TO OVERSPREAD A RELATIVELY MOIST BOUNDARY LAYER ACROSS SRN LA AND
EXTREME SERN TX. A COLD FRONT EXTENDING FROM CENTRAL LA WWD INTO
CENTRAL TX AND WILL MOVE SEWD OFF THE LA COAST IN THE 06Z-09Z TIME
FRAME. UNTIL THEN...COOLER MID-LEVEL TEMPERATURES WILL SOMEWHAT
OFFSET DIURNAL COOLING AND MAINTAIN AN AXIS OF MUCAPE BETWEEN 500 TO
1000 J/KG THROUGH REMAINDER OF THE EVENING HOURS. DESPITE WEAK
LOW-LEVEL WINDS...DEEP LAYER SHEAR IS SUFFICIENT FOR ROTATING STORMS
WITH PRIMARILY A SVR WIND AND HAIL THREAT. AN ISOLATED TORNADO
CANNOT BE RULED OUT...ESPECIALLY OVER SERN LA IN THE VICINITY OF A
DIFFUSE FRONTAL BOUNDARY.

..BUNTING.. 11/06/2012

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