DAY1SVR: Day 1 Convective Outlook

ACUS01 KWNS 060532
SWODY1
SPC AC 060530

DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1130 PM CST WED DEC 05 2012

VALID 061200Z - 071200Z

...NO SVR TSTM AREAS FORECAST...

...SYNOPSIS...

QUASI-ZONAL SYNOPTIC UPPER PATTERN WILL UNDERGO A SLOW AND MODEST
AMPLIFICATION THURSDAY. PRIMARY FEATURE OF INTEREST REMAINS THE SRN
STREAM UPPER LOW OVER THE NRN GULF THAT WILL MOVE ESEWD THROUGH THE
FL PENINSULA THURSDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING.

...FL...

WITH SFC DEWPOINTS ONLY IN THE UPPER 50S TO LOWER 60S...WEAK MID
LEVEL LAPSE RATES AND AREAS OF MID-HIGH LEVEL CLOUDS...INSTABILITY
IS EXPECTED TO REMAIN MARGINAL ACROSS THE FL PENINSULA DURING THE
DAY. POCKETS OF INSOLATION WILL CONTRIBUTE TO MLCAPE FROM 300-500
J/KG DURING THE AFTERNOON. WINDS ALOFT ASSOCIATED WITH THE UPPER LOW
CIRCULATION ARE WEAK...AND LOW LEVEL RESPONSE IS EXPECTED TO REMAIN
LIMITED. NEVERTHELESS...MOISTENING PROFILES IN RESPONSE TO ASCENT
ATTENDING THE UPPER LOW AND WEAK CONVERGENCE BOUNDARIES SHOULD
PROMOTE DEVELOPMENT OF SHOWERS AND A FEW THUNDERSTORMS DURING THE
DAY. ACTIVITY WILL DIMINISH INLAND DURING THE EVENING.

..DIAL.. 12/06/2012

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