Wednesday, December 19, 2012

DAY48SVR: Nws Storm Prediction Center Norman Ok

ACUS48 KWNS 190926
SWOD48
SPC AC 190925

DAY 4-8 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0325 AM CST WED DEC 19 2012

VALID 221200Z - 271200Z

...DISCUSSION...
DAY 4-8...SEVERE POTENTIAL WILL REMAIN LOW UNTIL POSSIBLY DAY 6-7
WHEN PARTIALLY MODIFIED GULF AIR COULD BE DRAWN NWD INTO ERN
TX...PORTIONS OF THE LOWER MS VALLEY AND SERN STATES AHEAD OF THE
NEXT SIGNIFICANT SHORTWAVE TROUGH. HOWEVER...MODEL SOLUTIONS
INCLUDING ECMWF...GFS AS WELL AS THE GEFS AND ECMWF ENSEMBLES REMAIN
SOMEWHAT DISPERSIVE...AND HAVE NOT SHOWN GOOD RUN TO RUN CONSISTENCY
REGARDING THE TIMING AND AMPLITUDE OF THIS FEATURE.

..DIAL.. 12/19/2012

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