Thursday, March 14, 2013

DAY1SVR: Day 1 Convective Outlook

ACUS01 KWNS 150048
SWODY1
SPC AC 150046

DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0746 PM CDT THU MAR 14 2013

VALID 150100Z - 151200Z

...NO TSTM AREAS FORECAST...

...DISCUSSION...

A LARGE AREA OF CP HIGH PRESSURE EXISTS OVER THE SERN STATES WITH
STABLE CONDITIONS AND MINIMAL CHANCE FOR THUNDERSTORMS OVER THE U.S.
THE REST OF TONIGHT. SOME OF THE PRECIPITATION DROPPING SEWD THROUGH
THE TN VALLEY IN ASSOCIATION WITH A PROGRESSIVE VORT MAX APPEARS
CONVECTIVE IN NATURE. THE 00Z RAOB FROM NASHVILLE SHOWS A SHALLOW
LAYER OF VERY WEAK CAPE BETWEEN 750 AND 600 MB...BUT THIS CONVECTIVE
LAYER IS NOT EXPECTED TO BECOME SUFFICIENT FOR LIGHTNING PRODUCTION.

..DIAL.. 03/15/2013

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