MESO: Mesoscale Discussion 0306

ACUS11 KWNS 232033
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 232033
FLZ000-GAZ000-232100-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0306
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0333 PM CDT SAT MAR 23 2013

AREAS AFFECTED...PORTIONS OF NERN FL AND SERN GA

CONCERNING...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 57...

VALID 232033Z - 232100Z

THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 57
CONTINUES.

SUMMARY...WW57 MAY BE ALLOWED TO EXPIRE AT 21Z...AS THE SVR THREAT
IS DIMINISHING.

DISCUSSION...CONTINUING WAA/ISENTROPIC ASCENT WILL MAINTAIN THE
POTENTIAL FOR ELEVATED CONVECTION. HOWEVER...WIDESPREAD CONVECTIVE
OVERTURNING N OF A W/E-ORIENTED WAVY QUASI-STATIONARY FRONT DRAPED
ACROSS PARTS OF NRN FL HAS BEEN ASSOCIATED WITH A REDUCTION IN
INSTABILITY. A FEW STRONG STORMS WITH SMALL HAIL...AND POSSIBLY AN
ISOLATED INSTANCE OR TWO OF MARGINALLY SVR HAIL...MAY OCCUR DURING
THE NEXT FEW HOURS ACROSS NERN FL INVOF THE FRONT. HOWEVER...THE
THREAT FOR SVR HAIL IS DECREASING. AS SUCH...THE WW MAY BE ALLOWED
TO EXPIRE ON SCHEDULE AT 21Z.

..COHEN.. 03/23/2013

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...JAX...

LAT...LON 31598185 31028139 29998130 29818196 29898236 30278295
31068290 31728248 31598185

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