Sunday, July 14, 2013

DAY1SVR: Day 1 Convective Outlook

ACUS01 KWNS 150032
SWODY1
SPC AC 150030

DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0730 PM CDT SUN JUL 14 2013

VALID 150100Z - 151200Z

...NO SVR TSTM AREAS FORECAST...

...E CNTRL OK...
A FEW STRONG TO SEVERE STORMS WILL CONTINUE TO MOVE IN A WWD
DIRECTION BENEATH COOL AIR ALOFT AND NEAR THE SFC THETA-E AXIS. HAIL
WILL BE THE PRIMARY THREAT WITH THESE CELLS AS THEY MOVE INTO CNTRL
OK THIS EVENING. GIVEN THE RELATIVELY RAIN-COOLED AIR MASS ACROSS
CNTRL AND WRN OK...A GENERAL WEAKENING TREND IS ANTICIPATED LATER
THIS EVENING.

...MIDDLE TX COAST...
A BROKEN LINE OF STORMS EXTENDS FROM SERN TX WWD A FEW COUNTIES
INLAND FROM THE COAST ALONG THE FRONT. THE NWLY FLOW ALOFT
JUXTAPOSED ATOP SELY SURFACE WINDS IS CREATING A MARGINALLY
FAVORABLE SHEAR ENVIRONMENT FOR A FEW LONGER LIVED STORMS.
HOWEVER...THEY ARE NEARLY STATIONARY...AND OUTFLOW SHOULD EVENTUALLY
HELP STABILIZE THE BOUNDARY LAYER. A FEW STORMS MAY PERSIST THROUGH
THE EVENING WITH SELY 850 MB FLOW...BUT SEVERE WEATHER IS NOT
EXPECTED.

..JEWELL.. 07/15/2013

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