Tuesday, September 24, 2013

MESO: Mesoscale Discussion 1913

ACUS11 KWNS 242333
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 242333
FLZ000-ALZ000-250130-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1913
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0633 PM CDT TUE SEP 24 2013

AREAS AFFECTED...FAR SRN AL...WRN FL PANHANDLE

CONCERNING...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 535...

VALID 242333Z - 250130Z

THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 535
CONTINUES.

SUMMARY...AN ISOLATED DAMAGING WIND THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE
REMAINDER OF WW 535. WHILE SOME THREAT WILL LIKELY EXTEND E OF THE
WATCH...OVERALL SVR COVERAGE IS EXPECTED TO BE LOW AND A NEW WW IS
NOT PLANNED.

DISCUSSION...REGIONAL RADAR IMAGERY HAS SHOWN A CONTINUED
FORWARD-PROPAGATING TREND WITH THE LINE OF STORMS MOVING ACROSS SRN
AL AND THE WRN FL PANHANDLE. SOME WIND DAMAGE WAS REPORTED WITH THIS
LINE IN SWRN AL.

ALTHOUGH THE LINE IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE EWD INTO SERN AL AND
W-CNTRL FL PANHANDLE...THE LOSS OF DAYTIME HEATING WILL
SIGNIFICANTLY REDUCE INSTABILITY...WITH A RESULTANT DECREASE IN THE
PROBABILITY OF ANY DAMAGING WINDS. HOWEVER...SOME ISOLATED DAMAGING
WINDS WILL REMAIN POSSIBLE AS BOTH BULK SHEAR AND LOW-LEVEL MOISTURE
REMAIN HIGH. ANTICIPATED LOW SVR COVERAGE CURRENTLY PRECLUDES THE
NEED FOR A WW AND A DOWNSTREAM WW IS NOT PLANNED AT THIS TIME.

..MOSIER/MEAD.. 09/24/2013

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...TAE...MOB...

LAT...LON 30428789 31408751 31528662 31478560 30948541 30148589
30368654 30428789

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