Tuesday, October 22, 2013

DAY1SVR: Day 1 Convective Outlook

ACUS01 KWNS 221244
SWODY1
SPC AC 221242

DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0742 AM CDT TUE OCT 22 2013

VALID 221300Z - 231200Z

...NO SVR TSTM AREAS FORECAST...

...SYNOPSIS...
A MIDLEVEL TROUGH WILL PERSIST OVER THE ERN CONUS AS ONE SHORTWAVE
TROUGH ROTATES NEWD OVER QUEBEC AND ANOTHER SPEED MAX PROGRESSES
FROM THE MID MO VALLEY TO THE SRN APPALACHIANS. THE SURFACE
WARM/MOIST SECTOR WILL BE CONFINED TO THE FL PENINSULA...AND
CONVECTION WILL BE A LITTLE MORE FOCUSED IN THE ZONE OF LOW-LEVEL
ASCENT ALONG THE SURFACE FRONT ACROSS N FL. FARTHER S IN
FL...ISOLATED SEA BREEZE STORMS WILL AGAIN BE POSSIBLE...ESPECIALLY
ALONG THE E COAST SEA BREEZE GIVEN WEAK LOW-LEVEL SWLY/WLY
FLOW...AND OTHER CONVECTION COULD MOVE INLAND TONIGHT FROM THE ERN
GULF. POOR LAPSE RATES ALOFT WILL TEND TO LIMIT BUOYANCY...WHILE
VERTICAL SHEAR WILL REMAIN RELATIVELY WEAK WITHIN THE SURFACE WARM
SECTOR...THUS SEVERE STORMS ARE NOT ANTICIPATED.

..THOMPSON/GARNER.. 10/22/2013

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