Wednesday, October 23, 2013

DAY1SVR: Day 1 Convective Outlook

ACUS01 KWNS 231620
SWODY1
SPC AC 231618

DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1118 AM CDT WED OCT 23 2013

VALID 231630Z - 241200Z

...NO SVR TSTM AREAS FORECAST...

...FL...
VISIBLE SATELLITE AND SURFACE OBSERVATIONS SHOW A WEAK COLD FRONT
EXTENDING ACROSS THE CENTRAL FL PENINSULA. THE AIR MASS SOUTH OF
THE FRONT IS MOIST AND WILL BECOME MODERATELY UNSTABLE THIS
AFTERNOON...LEADING TO SCATTERED SHOWER AND THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY.
LOW AND DEEP LAYER VERTICAL SHEAR IS WEAK. HOWEVER...RATHER STRONG
DAYTIME HEATING AND WESTERLY COMPONENT TO SURFACE WINDS MAY RESULT
IN SUFFICIENT CONVERGENCE FOR A STRONG THUNDERSTORM OR TWO ALONG THE
SEA-BREEZE OF SOUTHEAST FL NEAR MIA. LOCALLY GUSTY/DAMAGING WINDS
WOULD BE THE MAIN THREAT. LIMITED AREAL AND TEMPORAL COVERAGE
PRECLUDES ADDING SEVERE PROBABILITIES.

..HART/SMITH.. 10/23/2013

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