DAY1SVR: Day 1 Convective Outlook

ACUS01 KWNS 091919
SWODY1
SPC AC 091917

DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0217 PM CDT WED OCT 09 2013

VALID 092000Z - 101200Z

...NO SVR TSTM AREAS FORECAST...

EARLIER THOUGHTS REGARDING CONVECTION ACROSS THE WEST AND NEAR THE
ATLANTIC COAST REMAIN. NO CHANGES TO PREVIOUS FORECAST.

..DARROW.. 10/09/2013

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 1123 AM CDT WED OCT 09 2013/

...EASTERN STATES...
AN UPPER LOW OVER THE CAROLINAS WILL CONTINUE TO POSE A RISK OF
SHOWERS AND A FEW THUNDERSTORMS OVER FAR EASTERN NC AND SOUTHEAST
VA. THE TRAILING COLD FRONT EXTENDS ACROSS CENTRAL FL...WITH
SUFFICIENT INSTABILITY OVER SOUTH FL FOR ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS AS
WELL. NO SEVERE STORMS ARE FORECAST.

...WESTERN STATES...
A LARGE UPPER TROUGH IS PRESENT OVER THE WESTERN STATES...WITH COLD
TEMPERATURES ALOFT AND RELATIVELY STEEP MID LEVEL LAPSE RATES IN
PLACE OVER MUCH OF THE GREAT BASIN AND SOUTHWEST STATES. DAYTIME
HEATING...MARGINAL LOW LEVEL MOISTURE...AND FORCING AHEAD OF A
STRONG SHORTWAVE TROUGH OVER SOUTHERN CA WILL BE SUFFICIENT FOR
SCATTERED AFTERNOON THUNDERSTORMS OVER MUCH OF THE MOUNTAINOUS WEST
TODAY. NO SEVERE STORMS ARE FORECAST.

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