Wednesday, October 23, 2013

DAY1SVR: Day 1 Convective Outlook

ACUS01 KWNS 240058
SWODY1
SPC AC 240055

DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0755 PM CDT WED OCT 23 2013

VALID 240100Z - 241200Z

...NO TSTM AREAS FORECAST...

...SOUTH FL...

NWLY FLOW IS DEEPENING ACROSS SOUTH FL AS UPPER TROUGH SETTLES INTO
THE GREAT LAKES/OH VALLEY REGION. LATEST SFC ANALYSIS SUGGESTS THE
PRIMARY WIND SHIFT RESPONSIBLE FOR ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS HAS
PROGRESSED TO NEAR THE COAST AND WILL SOON FORCE ALL DEEP CONVECTION
WELL OFFSHORE. 00Z SOUNDING FROM MFL CONTINUES TO EXHIBIT
SUBSTANTIAL CAPE WITH AN EL NEAR 150MB BUT THERMODYNAMIC PROFILE
SHOULD ADJUST QUICKLY THIS EVENING AND BECOME INCREASINGLY HOSTILE
FOR THUNDERSTORMS. FOR THIS REASON HAVE LOWERED THUNDERSTORM
PROBABILITIES ACROSS SOUTH FL.

..DARROW.. 10/24/2013

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