DAY1SVR: Day 1 Convective Outlook

ACUS01 KWNS 031947
SWODY1
SPC AC 031945

DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0145 PM CST SUN NOV 03 2013

VALID 032000Z - 041200Z

...NO TSTM AREAS FORECAST...

NO CHANGE IS NEEDED TO THE PREVIOUS FORECAST. ASIDE FROM A
POTENTIAL SPORADIC LIGHTNING STRIKE FROM ID/WY INTO WRN NEB...THE
REST OF THE CONTINENTAL U.S. WILL REMAIN FREE FROM TSTMS THIS
FORECAST PERIOD.

..PETERS.. 11/03/2013

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 0935 AM CST SUN NOV 03 2013/

...SYNOPSIS...
A SERIES OF UPPER-LEVEL SHORTWAVE TROUGHS ROTATING FROM THE NRN
ROCKIES INTO THE CNTRL/NRN PLAINS WILL MAINTAIN COLD MIDLEVEL
TEMPERATURES AND LAPSE RATES ACROSS THE AREA TODAY. THOUGH AN
ISOLATED LIGHTNING STRIKE CANNOT BE RULED OUT FROM ID/WY INTO WRN
NEB...A DRY ATMOSPHERE WILL PRECLUDE STORM COVERAGE SUFFICIENT FOR A
CATEGORICAL THUNDER DELINEATION. ELSEWHERE...SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE
OVER THE ERN CONUS WILL AID IN MAINTAINING A STABLE ENVIRONMENT E OF
THE MS RIVER. MEANWHILE...BOUNDARY LAYER AND SUBTROPICAL MOISTURE
WILL BEGIN TO SPREAD NWD INTO TX AND SRN AZ/NM IN RESPONSE TO
LARGE-SCALE TROUGHING OVER THE WRN CONUS. DESPITE THE INCREASE IN
MOISTURE...THUNDERSTORM DEVELOPMENT IS NOT EXPECTED.

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