Monday, November 25, 2013

DAY1SVR: Day 1 Convective Outlook

ACUS01 KWNS 260049
SWODY1
SPC AC 260046

DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0646 PM CST MON NOV 25 2013

VALID 260100Z - 261200Z

...NO SVR TSTM AREAS FORECAST...

...CENTRAL GULF COAST STATES...
A POSITIVE TILT TROUGH IN THE SOUTHERN STREAM WILL CONTINUE TO MAKE
A SLOW EAST-SOUTHEASTWARD ADVANCEMENT OVER TX THROUGH EARLY TUESDAY.
EARLY THIS EVENING...A LEAD SHORTWAVE TROUGH APPEARS TO COINCIDE
WITH SURFACE CYCLOGENESIS/ACTIVE TSTMS ACROSS THE
WEST-CENTRAL/NORTH-CENTRAL GULF OF MEXICO. 70F SURFACE DEWPOINTS ARE
ALREADY WITHIN 50 MILES OF THE SOUTHERN LA COAST...AND A RELATIVELY
MOISTURE-RICH MARITIME AIRMASS WILL CONTINUE TO APPROACH COASTAL
PORTIONS OF LA/MS/AL/FL PANHANDLE THROUGH EARLY TUESDAY IN TANDEM
WITH A WARM FRONT. ALTHOUGH THE INLAND EXTENT OF THE MARITIME
AIRMASS WILL BE SPATIALLY LIMITED...DEEP LAYER/LOW-LEVEL SHEAR WILL
BE INCREASINGLY CONDUCIVE FOR A FEW ROTATING STORMS/ORGANIZED
CLUSTERS POTENTIALLY CAPABLE OF LOCALIZED WIND DAMAGE AND/OR A
TORNADO MAINLY LATE TONIGHT/EARLY TUESDAY FOR COASTAL AREAS.

..GUYER.. 11/26/2013

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