Sunday, November 17, 2013

DAY3SVR: Nws Storm Prediction Center Norman Ok

ACUS03 KWNS 170830
SWODY3
SPC AC 170828

DAY 3 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0228 AM CST SUN NOV 17 2013

VALID 191200Z - 201200Z

...NO SVR TSTM AREAS FORECAST...

...DISCUSSION...

A LARGE AREA OF CP HIGH PRESSURE WILL MOVE THROUGH THE ERN U.S.
TUESDAY WHILE A LEE TROUGH DEVELOPS ACROSS THE PLAINS. INCREASING
SLY LOW-LEVEL WINDS ASSOCIATED WITH THE LEE TROUGH WILL CONTRIBUTE
TO LIMITED MOISTURE RETURN THROUGH A PORTION OF THE SRN PLAINS.
MODELS INDICATE A LOW AMPLITUDE SHORTWAVE TROUGH WILL MOVE THROUGH
THE CNTRL PLAINS AND MID MS VALLEY REGION TUESDAY NIGHT ACCOMPANIED
BY STEEP 700-500 MB LAPSE RATES. SOME MID-LEVEL CONVECTION MAY
DEVELOP IN ASSOCIATION WITH THIS FEATURE OVER THE MID-MS VALLEY
REGION WHERE INSTABILITY MAY BECOME SUFFICIENT FOR A FEW LIGHTNING
STRIKES. OTHERWISE...THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL WILL REMAIN LOW THIS
PERIOD.

..DIAL.. 11/17/2013

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