ACUS02 KWNS 110623
SWODY2
SPC AC 110622
DAY 2 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1222 AM CST WED DEC 11 2013
VALID 121200Z - 131200Z
...NO TSTM AREAS FORECAST...
...SYNOPSIS...
LARGE SCALE PATTERN WILL REMAIN MOSTLY HOSTILE TOWARDS MOIST DEEP
CONVECTION CAPABLE OF GENERATING LIGHTNING DURING THE DAY2 PERIOD.
DRY STABLE CONDITIONS WILL PREVAIL INVOF SFC ANTICYCLONE THAT IS
EXPECTED TO GRADUALLY SHIFT ACROSS THE PLAINS/MS VALLEY INTO THE
MIDDLE ATLANTIC REGION...AND OFFSHORE FLOW WILL PREVENT MEANINGFUL
MOISTURE/INSTABILITY RETURNING INLAND.
HOWEVER...WEAK SHORT-WAVE TROUGH OFF THE NRN BAJA PENINSULA IS
EXPECTED TO LIFT NEWD INTO AZ/NRN MEXICO AS MID LEVEL SPEED MAX
INCREASES IN EXCESS OF 60KT. NORTH OF THIS JET CORE MID LEVEL LAPSE
RATES ARE EXPECTED TO STEEPEN SUFFICIENTLY FOR AT LEAST SHALLOW
ELEVATED CONVECTION. GIVEN THE SPARSE MOISTURE ACROSS THIS REGION
IT APPEARS THE PROSPECT FOR MORE THAN AN ISOLATED LIGHTNING STRIKE
WILL REMAIN LOW.
..DARROW.. 12/11/2013
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