MESO: Mesoscale Discussion 0017

ACUS11 KWNS 111423
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 111422
SCZ000-NCZ000-GAZ000-111445-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0017
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0822 AM CST SAT JAN 11 2014

AREAS AFFECTED...PIEDMONT OF SC INTO PORTIONS OF WRN NC

CONCERNING...SEVERE POTENTIAL...WATCH LIKELY

VALID 111422Z - 111445Z

PROBABILITY OF WATCH ISSUANCE...95 PERCENT

SUMMARY...QLCS CURRENTLY MOVING OUT OF GA WILL CONTINUE TO SPREAD
EWD INTO NRN/CNTRL PORTIONS OF SC THROUGH LATE MORNING. PRIMARY
THREAT APPEARS TO BE DMGG WINDS DUE TO THE PROGRESSIVE NATURE OF THE
LINE.

DISCUSSION...AN EMBEDDED BOWING SEGMENT WITHIN A QLCS EXTENDING
ACROSS GA/AL IS RAPIDLY PROGRESSING EWD INTO NRN SC. WEDGE FRONT
POSITIONED ACROSS THE CAROLINAS CONTINUES TO RETREAT NWD AHEAD OF
THE LINE...WITH A RAPID INCREASE IN SFC TEMPERATURE/DEWPOINT NOTED
AT GRD AT 14Z. GREATEST SHORT-TERM THREAT FOR DMGG WIND WILL BE
WHERE THE BOWING SEGMENT INTERSECTS THE RETREATING WARM
FRONT...WHILE RELATIVELY SLOWER-MOVING SEGMENT OF THE QLCS FARTHER S
WILL NOT REACH CNTRL PORTIONS OF SC UNTIL 1530-1630Z AT CURRENT
MOTION. A NEW WW WILL BE CONSIDERED SOON.

..ROGERS/MEAD.. 01/11/2014

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...CAE...GSP...

LAT...LON 34538024 33868132 33828232 34288303 34748318 35138294
35428232 35338144 35228127 34538024

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