DAY1SVR: Day 1 Convective Outlook

ACUS01 KWNS 131205
SWODY1
SPC AC 131204

DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0704 AM CDT THU MAR 13 2014

VALID 131300Z - 141200Z

...NO SVR TSTM AREAS FORECAST...

...AZ/NM THIS AFTERNOON INTO EARLY TONIGHT...
THE CLOSED MIDLEVEL LOW OVER CA WILL PIVOT EWD OVER THE LOWER CO
RIVER VALLEY TO AZ BY TONIGHT...IN RESPONSE TO UPSTREAM HEIGHT
FALLS/INCREASING MEAN FLOW FROM NRN CA NWD INTO THE PAC NW. A
GRADUAL INCREASE IN LOW-MIDLEVEL MOISTURE HAS BEEN NOTED IN
SATELLITE/GPS PW ESTIMATES OVER AZ SINCE YESTERDAY...WITH PW VALUES
NOW NEAR 0.5 INCHES. THIS MOISTURE WILL COMBINE WITH DAYTIME
HEATING AND LARGE-SCALE ASCENT TO SUPPORT MARGINAL BUOYANCY AND
ISOLATED LOW-TOPPED THUNDERSTORMS THIS AFTERNOON INTO EARLY TONIGHT
ACROSS THE RIM COUNTRY OF AZ...EXTENDING EWD/SEWD INTO WRN NM AND
SERN AZ.

..THOMPSON/ROGERS.. 03/13/2014

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