ACUS01 KWNS 241621
SWODY1
SPC AC 241619
DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1119 AM CDT MON MAR 24 2014
VALID 241630Z - 251200Z
...NO SVR TSTM AREAS FORECAST...
...SYNOPSIS...
A MIDLEVEL SHORTWAVE TROUGH OVER THE SRN PRAIRIE PROVINCES THIS
MORNING WILL DIG SEWD AND AMPLIFY OVER THE MID MS VALLEY BY EARLY
TUESDAY...AS INITIAL CYCLOGENESIS OCCURS WELL DOWNSTREAM ALONG A
PRE-EXISTING BAROCLINIC ZONE JUST N OF THE BAHAMAS. THIS BOUNDARY
EXTENDS WWD ACROSS S FL AND THE NRN GULF OF MEXICO...WHERE
CONVECTION WILL BE FOCUSED THROUGH THE PERIOD. HOWEVER...THE DEGREE
OF DESTABILIZATION IS UNCLEAR ACROSS S FL WITH WIDESPREAD CLOUDS AND
WEAK N WINDS TODAY...AND WITH PRIMARY CYCLOGENESIS EXPECTED LATE IN
THE PERIOD OFF THE FL E COAST. THE STRONGEST STORMS WILL LIKELY
REMAIN OFF THE SW FL COAST...IN PROXIMITY TO THE SURFACE WIND SHIFT
AND WARMER SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURES. OTHERWISE...A FEW ELEVATED
THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE INVOF THE LOWER/MIDDLE TX COAST IN A
WEAK WAA REGIME ABOVE THE SHALLOW COOL AIR MASS.
..THOMPSON/EDWARDS.. 03/24/2014
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