Tuesday, April 24, 2007

MESO: Mesoscale Discussion 0562

ACUS11 KWNS 241835
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 241835
NEZ000-241930-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0562
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0135 PM CDT TUE APR 24 2007

AREAS AFFECTED...SCNTRL NEB

CONCERNING...SEVERE POTENTIAL...WATCH LIKELY

VALID 241835Z - 241930Z

..POTENTIAL WILL INCREASE FOR LARGE HAIL THIS AFTN...

SFC WARM FRONT EXTENDS FROM JUST NORTH OF HAYS KS TO CONCORDIA TO
NORTH OF KANSAS CITY...SEWD ACROSS CNTRL MO. SOUTH OF THIS
BOUNDARY...TEMPS HAVE RISEN INTO THE LOW TO MID 70S WITH DEWPOINTS
IN THE 60S WHICH IS CONTRIBUTING TO MLCAPE VALUES NEAR 1500 J/KG.
THUS FAR...REPORTS OF HAIL HAVE BEEN AROUND 1 INCH OR LOWER.
HOWEVER...ELEVATED TSTMS CONTINUE TO INCREASE IN INTENSITY NORTH OF
THE BOUNDARY. AS HIGHER THETA-E AIR IS ADVECTED FROM THE UNSTABLE
WARM SECTOR FARTHER SOUTH...POTENTIAL FOR LARGER HAIL WILL INCREASE
THIS AFTN.

IT APPEARS THAT A WW WILL BE ISSUED SHORTLY.

.TAYLOR.. 04/24/2007

..PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...OAX...GID...LBF...GLD...

40039767 40160097 41050108 41769952 41419748 40919603
40079561

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