UPDATED Hazardous Weather Outlook TAE

hazardous weather outlook
national weather service tallahassee fl
1019 am edt wed apr 11 2007

...severe weather possible this afternoon...


this hazardous weather outlook is for portions of southeast
alabama...florida...south central georgia...southwest georgia and
gulf of mexico.

.day one...today and tonight
a weak cold front will approach the region from the west this
afternoon...with a narrow band of scattered showers and
thunderstorms expected to develop ahead of this front. daytime
heating and increasing low level moisture will help destabilize
the atmosphere this afternoon as a warm front moves north across
the region. this increased instability will help generate some
fairly strong thunderstorms updrafts...and the increasing wind
speeds with height will help these updrafts rotate...enhancing the
threat for severe storms. the main severe weather threat for our
area be across southeast alabama and southwest georgia this
afternoon...especially after 1 pm cdt (2 pm edt). penny size hail
or greater and wind gusts near 60 mph will be possible with the
strongest storms...but an isolated tornado can not be ruled out.
there is some question as to whether this line of storms will
extend south into florida...and how far east the storms will reach
before weakening after sunset. still...a few storms could be
strong to severe in the florida panhandle and big bend.

.days two through seven...thursday through tuesday
a ridge of high pressure will bring fair and warm conditions to
the area on thursday and friday...before the next cold front
approaches the region by saturday afternoon. this system will
likely produce another round of showers and storms across the
area...before much cooler and drier air takes its place for the
remainder of the weekend into early next week.

.spotter information statement...
spotter activation is requested for this afternoon for southeast
alabama and southwest georgia.

fournier




AFFECTED COUNTIES:
IN ALABAMA: COFFEE, DALE, GENEVA, HENRY, HOUSTON. IN FLORIDA: BAY, CALHOUN, DIXIE, FRANKLIN, GADSDEN, GULF, HOLMES, JACKSON, JEFFERSON, LAFAYETTE, LEON, LIBERTY, MADISON, TAYLOR, WAKULLA, WALTON, WASHINGTON. IN GEORGIA: BAKER, BEN HILL, BERRIEN, BROOKS, CALHOUN, CLAY, COLQUITT, COOK, DECATUR, DOUGHERTY, EARLY, GRADY, IRWIN, LANIER, LEE, LOWNDES, MILLER, MITCHELL, QUITMAN, RANDOLPH, SEMINOLE, TERRELL, THOMAS, TIFT, TURNER, WORTH.