Saturday, September 8, 2007

DAY3SVR: Nws Storm Prediction Center Norman Ok

ACUS03 KWNS 080725
SWODY3
SPC AC 080723

DAY 3 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0223 AM CDT SAT SEP 08 2007

VALID 101200Z - 111200Z

..NO SVR TSTM AREAS FORECAST...

..SYNOPSIS...
MID-LEVEL SHORT-WAVE TROUGH IS FORECAST TO CONTINUE MOVING SEWD/EWD
ACROSS THE CENTRAL CONUS THIS PERIOD. AS THIS OCCURS...SURFACE
FRONT IS FORECAST TO CONTINUE MOVING EWD TOWARD THE ATLANTIC
COAST/SWD TOWARD THE GULF COAST -- THOUGH MODELS HINT THAT A WAVE
MAY DEVELOP ON THE FRONT OVER THE LOWER MS VALLEY REGION LATER IN
THE PERIOD.

IN ANY CASE...IT APPEARS THAT THE FRONT SHOULD SHIFT
SWD/SEWD...WHILE THE STRONGER FLOW ALOFT BECOMES INCREASINGLY
SITUATED ATOP THE COOLER/POST-FRONTAL AIRMASS. WITH THE HIGHER
THETA-E BOUNDARY LAYER S OF THE FRONT FORECAST TO REMAIN WELL S OF
THE STRONGER FLOW ALOFT...IT APPEARS THAT THE POTENTIAL FOR
ORGANIZED STORMS WILL BE QUITE LOW. FURTHER...WITH VERY WEAK
WARM-SECTOR LAPSE RATES FORECAST...AN OVERALL LACK OF INSTABILITY IS
EXPECTED -- WHICH SHOULD ALSO LIMIT SIGNIFICANT PULSE-TYPE SEVERE
THREAT. THEREFORE...WILL NOT INTRODUCE ANY SEVERE PROBABILITIES
ATTM.

.GOSS.. 09/08/2007

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