SWODY1
SPC AC 280526
DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1226 AM CDT SUN OCT 28 2007
VALID 281200Z - 291200Z
..NO SVR TSTM AREAS FORECAST...
..CNTRL AND S FL...
GRADIENT BETWEEN HIGH PRESSURE BUILDING OVER THE ERN U.S. AND LOWER
PRESSURE OVER THE CARIBBEAN AREA WILL RESULT IN ELY LOW-MID LEVEL
FLOW ACROSS FL THROUGH SUNDAY. A MOIST BOUNDARY LAYER WILL PERSIST
WITH RICHEST LOW LEVEL MOISTURE OVER THE SRN PART OF STATE S OF
STALLED FRONT. GIVEN THE RICHER LOW LEVEL MOISTURE AND DRYER MID
LEVEL PROFILES...INSTABILITY MAY BE A LITTLE GREATER OVER SRN FL.
HOWEVER...OVERALL THERMODYNAMIC PROFILES WILL REMAIN MARGINAL WITH
WEAK MID LEVEL LAPSE RATES AND CAPE. MOREOVER...FORECAST SOUNDINGS
ACROSS CNTRL FL SHOW PRESENCE OF A MODEST MID LEVEL INVERSION. AREAS
OF SHOWERS WITH EMBEDDED THUNDERSTORMS WILL DEVELOP OVER THE WARM
WATERS OFF THE EAST COAST OF FL AND SPREAD WWD. AMOUNT OF LIGHTNING
ACTIVITY WILL LIKELY BE MODERATED SOMEWHAT BY THE MARGINAL
THERMODYNAMIC ENVIRONMENT.
.DIAL.. 10/28/2007
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