Thursday, October 25, 2007

DAY1SVR: Day 1 Convective Outlook

ACUS01 KWNS 251606
SWODY1
SPC AC 251603

DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1103 AM CDT THU OCT 25 2007

VALID 251630Z - 261200Z

..NO SVR TSTM AREAS FORECAST...

..SE ATLANTIC COAST NWWD TO THE OH VALLEY THROUGH TONIGHT...
THE OCCLUDED/CUTOFF LOW OVER NRN MS WILL ROTATE SLOWLY NWWD TOWARD
NE AR/SE MO IN RESPONSE TO HEIGHT RISES OVER THE WRN ATLANTIC. THE
REMNANT SURFACE FRONT ASSOCIATED WITH THIS LOW...IN COMBINATION WITH
WEAK WEDGE FRONT ACROSS NC... WILL LINGER NEAR THE SE ATLANTIC COAST
THROUGH TONIGHT...WITH A GRADUAL WWD DRIFT OF THESE BOUNDARIES
POSSIBLE. SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS WILL CONTINUE THROUGH THE PERIOD
NEAR THE FRONTS...AS WELL AS IN THE ZONE OF WAA NW OF THE BOUNDARIES
INTO THE APPALACHIANS/OH VALLEY...THOUGH THE GREATER STORM COVERAGE
IS EXPECTED ACROSS ERN NC WHERE A SMALL PORTION OF THE WARM SECTOR
REMAINS INLAND. WIDESPREAD CLOUDS WILL LIMIT INSOLATION AND RATHER
POOR MID LEVEL LAPSE RATES WILL CONTRIBUTE TO GENERALLY WEAK
INSTABILITY OVER LAND. LOW-LEVEL AND DEEP LAYER VERTICAL SHEAR WILL
ALSO BE RATHER WEAK IN THE WARM SECTOR...THUS TEMPERING ANY SEVERE
STORM THREAT.

.THOMPSON/JEWELL.. 10/25/2007

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