SWODY1
SPC AC 160558
DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1158 PM CST TUE JAN 15 2008
VALID 161200Z - 171200Z
..NO SVR TSTM AREAS FORECAST...
..FL PANHANDLE...
SOUTHWEST FLOW WILL BECOME ESTABLISHED ACROSS THE SERN STATES TODAY
AS AN UPPER-LEVEL TROUGH MOVES EWD INTO THE PLAINS TONIGHT. A SFC
LOW OVER THE WRN GULF OF MEXICO IS FORECAST TO DRIFT QUICKLY NEWD
AND APPROACH THE FL PANHANDLE TONIGHT. LOW-LEVEL CONVERGENCE AND
ABUNDANT LOW TO MID-LEVEL MOISTURE WILL LIKELY RESULT IN THE
DEVELOPMENT OF NUMEROUS THUNDERSTORMS AROUND THE SFC LOW. A WARM
FRONT IS FORECAST TO ADVANCE NEWD ACROSS NRN FL WITH THUNDERSTORM
ACTIVITY DEVELOPING ALONG THE FRONT AND MOVING INLAND ACROSS FL AND
SRN GA AFTER MIDNIGHT. FORECAST SOUNDINGS ACROSS THE FL PANHANDLE
FROM THIS AFTERNOON THROUGH TONIGHT INCREASE LOW-LEVEL SHEAR
PROFILES GRADUALLY AS THE LOW APPROACHES WITH 0-1 KM SHEAR REACHING
ABOUT 40 KT BY DAYBREAK. THIS MAY BE SUFFICIENT FOR A MARGINAL
SEVERE THREAT AS THE STRONGER ROTATING STORMS MOVE INLAND. A FEW
CELLS MAY HAVE A BRIEF TORNADO OR WIND DAMAGE POTENTIAL...HOWEVER
WEAK INSTABILITY SHOULD KEEP ANY SEVERE THREAT MARGINAL THROUGH 12Z.
.BROYLES.. 01/16/2008
+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-
To unsubscribe from WX-STORM send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with
"unsub wx-storm" in the body of your message. For more information write cnovy@cox.net.
No comments:
Post a Comment