Wednesday, April 16, 2008

DAY1SVR: Day 1 Convective Outlook

ACUS01 KWNS 161933
SWODY1
SPC AC 161931

DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0231 PM CDT WED APR 16 2008

VALID 162000Z - 171200Z

..THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS KS...

..KS...

LATEST DIAGNOSTIC DATA IS VERY DEFINITIVE WITH FRONTAL POSITION THAT
EXTENDS FROM SERN NEB...SWWD INTO THE TX PANHANDLE. SUSTAINED SLY
FLOW WITHIN THE BOUNDARY LAYER HAS ALLOWED LOWER 50S DEW POINTS TO
RETURN NWD INTO KS WHERE IT INTERCEPTS AFOREMENTIONED WIND SHIFT.
1915Z VIS IMAGERY SUGGESTS CU FIELD IS BECOMING FOCUSED ALONG THE
FRONT FROM KINGMAN COUNTY...NEWD TO GEARY COUNTY KS. ALTHOUGH
INHIBITION WILL CONTINUE TO WEAKEN ACROSS THIS REGION...IT APPEARS
THUNDERSTORM INITIATION WILL HOLD OFF UNTIL AT LEAST EARLY EVENING.
AFTER DARK...STRENGTHENING LLJ ACROSS THE SRN/CNTRL PLAINS SHOULD
ENHANCE ELEVATED CONVECTIVE POTENTIAL ACROSS MUCH OF KS WITHIN VERY
FOCUSED WARM ADVECTION REGIME. CLOUD LAYER SHEAR WILL CERTAINLY
SUPPORT STORM ORGANIZATION AND HAIL PRODUCTION SHOULD BE SUCH THAT
ISOLATED SEVERE REPORTS SHOULD BE NOTED WITH THE STRONGER STORMS.

.DARROW.. 04/16/2008

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