SWOD48
SPC AC 040846
DAY 4-8 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0346 AM CDT SUN MAY 04 2008
VALID 071200Z - 121200Z
...ACTIVE SEVERE WEATHER DAY ON TAP FOR WEDNESDAY IN PARTS OF THE
CNTRL/SRN PLAINS TOWARD THE MID-SOUTH...
MEDIUM RANGE GUIDANCE EXHIBITS HIGH PREDICTABILITY WITH RUN-TO-RUN
CONSISTENCY QUITE GOOD IN HANDLING OF THE BAJA UPR LOW AS IT EJECTS
INTO THE SRN PLAINS ON WEDNESDAY. THOUGH NOT OF PREMIUM SPRINGTIME
QUALITY...LOW-LEVEL GULF MOISTURE WILL BE IN PLACE AHEAD OF THIS
SYSTEM. ORGANIZED SEVERE TSTMS WILL BE LIKELY...DEVELOPING FROM
SCNTRL KS INTO CNTRL OK WEDNESDAY AFTN. THESE STORMS WILL RAPIDLY
MOVE ENEWD INTO THE MO/AR OZARKS DURING THE EVENING AND PROBABLY
BACKBUILD SWWD INTO THE ARKLATEX OVERNIGHT. GIVEN STRENGTH OF THE
MID-LEVEL WIND FIELD...A FAIRLY MODEST SEVERE EVENT IS EXPECTED TO
UNFOLD...THOUGH WEAKENING PHASE OF THE SYSTEM MAY TEMPER THE
POTENTIAL MAGNITUDE OF THE EVENT SOMEWHAT.
BEYOND DAY 4...GUIDANCE BECOMES QUITE VARIED...WITH PREDICTABILITY
TOO LOW TO CONSIDER HIGHLIGHTING SVR WEATHER POSSIBILITIES.
..RACY.. 05/04/2008
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