Sunday, October 5, 2008

DAY1SVR: Day 1 Convective Outlook

ACUS01 KWNS 060054
SWODY1
SPC AC 060051

DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0751 PM CDT SUN OCT 05 2008

VALID 060100Z - 061200Z

...THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS ACROSS PARTS OF THE WRN HALF OF
TX AND INTO SWRN OK...

...PORTIONS OF THE WRN HALF OF TX INTO SWRN OK...
NNW-SSE BAND OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS CONTINUES MOVING EWD
ACROSS THE SRN HIGH PLAINS ATTM...AHEAD OF A SHORT-WAVE TROUGH
EJECTING ENEWD ACROSS NM/FAR W TX. WHILE FAIRLY STRONG/VEERING FLOW
WITH HEIGHT CONTINUES SPREADING ACROSS THE S CENTRAL CONUS...LIMITED
INSTABILITY /GENERALLY AOB 750 J/KG MIXED-LAYER CAPE/ CONTINUES TO
FURTHER DIMINISH WITH THE LOSS OF DAYTIME HEATING.

WHILE CONVECTIVE INTENSITY SHOULD SLOWLY WANE OVERNIGHT...STRONG/
LOCALLY-SEVERE STORMS SHOULD CONTINUE FOR AT LEAST THE NEXT COUPLE
OF HOURS -- PARTICULARLY ACROSS THAT PORTION OF TX FROM E OF MIDLAND
AND LUBBOCK INTO THE ABILENE AND SAN ANGELO AREAS -- AND INTO SWRN
OK. WHILE DAMAGING WINDS AND EVEN AN ISOLATED TORNADO REMAIN
POSSIBLE...CONTINUED BOUNDARY-LAYER COOLING SHOULD SUPPORT A
TRANSITION TOWARD HAIL AS THE PRIMARY SEVERE THREAT...BEFORE THE
OVERALL THREAT WANES BELOW SLIGHT RISK THRESHOLDS LATER THIS
EVENING.

..GOSS.. 10/06/2008

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