WATCHES: Severe Thunderstorm Watch Number 917

WWUS20 KWNS 112238
SEL7
SPC WW 112238
NMZ000-TXZ000-120500-

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH NUMBER 917
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
435 PM MDT SAT OCT 11 2008

THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF

SOUTHERN AND EASTERN NEW MEXICO
FAR WEST TEXAS

EFFECTIVE THIS SATURDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING FROM 435 PM UNTIL
1100 PM MDT.

HAIL TO 1.5 INCHES IN DIAMETER...THUNDERSTORM WIND GUSTS TO 70
MPH...AND DANGEROUS LIGHTNING ARE POSSIBLE IN THESE AREAS.

THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 105
STATUTE MILES NORTH AND SOUTH OF A LINE FROM 20 MILES WEST
NORTHWEST OF EL PASO TEXAS TO 45 MILES SOUTH SOUTHEAST OF CANNON
AFB NEW MEXICO. FOR A COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE
ASSOCIATED WATCH OUTLINE UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU7).

REMEMBER...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE
FAVORABLE FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH
AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR
THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS
AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS. SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS CAN AND OCCASIONALLY
DO PRODUCE TORNADOES.

OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 916...

DISCUSSION...SCTD TSTMS/SUPERCELLS EXPECTED TO PERSIST/DEVELOP IN
STRONGLY SHEARED ENVIRONMENT ALONG SSW-NNE CONFLUENCE BAND IN FAR W
TX/SE NM. MORE ISOLD STORMS MAY FORM IN S CNTRL NM. COMBINATION OF
45+ KT DEEP SWLY SHEAR WITH SEASONABLY RICH LOW LVL MOISTURE
SUGGESTS POTENTIAL FOR SVR HAIL/LCLY DMGG WIND. A TORNADO OR TWO
CANNOT BE RULED OUT IN SE/E CNTRL NM...WHERE SFC SELY FLOW IS
GREATEST.

AVIATION...A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT
TO 1.5 INCHES. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE WIND GUSTS TO 60
KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO 500. MEAN STORM
MOTION VECTOR 22035.

...CORFIDI

+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-
To unsubscribe from WX-STORM send e-mail to LISTSERV@LISTSERV.ILLINOIS.EDU with
"unsub wx-storm" in the body of your message. For more information write cnovy@cox.net.