Tuesday, February 24, 2009

DAY1SVR: Day 1 Convective Outlook

ACUS01 KWNS 240553
SWODY1
SPC AC 240552

DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1152 PM CST MON FEB 23 2009

VALID 241200Z - 251200Z

...NO SVR TSTM AREAS FORECAST...

...SYNOPSIS...
A PROGRESSIVE LOW AMPLITUDE UPPER FLOW REGIME WILL CONTINUE OVER THE
CONUS TODAY. AN UPPER LOW APPROACHING THE PACIFIC NORTHWEST COAST
LATE TONIGHT IS FORECAST TO CONTINUE TO OPEN/WEAKEN AND QUICKLY
PROGRESS EASTWARD OVER THE NORTHERN ROCKIES...REACHING THE NORTHERN
PLAINS LATE TONIGHT.

...MT...
PLUME OF STEEP MID LEVEL LAPSE RATES ATTENDANT TO AFOREMENTIONED
EAST-ADVANCING SHORTWAVE TROUGH WILL CONTRIBUTE TO WEAK
BUOYANCY/CONVECTIVELY ENHANCED PRECIPITATION TODAY ACROSS THE
NORTHERN ROCKIES. SOME TSTMS WILL BE POSSIBLE THIS
AFTERNOON/EVENING...MAINLY ALONG AND/OR IMMEDIATELY NORTH ON THE
COLD SIDE OF A SURFACE FRONT ACROSS CENTRAL/EASTERN MT...WHERE MODEL
FORECAST SOUNDINGS SHOW THE POTENTIAL FOR MUCAPE OF A COUPLE HUNDRED
J/KG.

..GUYER.. 02/24/2009

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