Thursday, June 25, 2009

MESO: Mesoscale Discussion 1315

ACUS11 KWNS 251730
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 251730
OHZ000-MIZ000-INZ000-251830-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1315
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1230 PM CDT THU JUN 25 2009

AREAS AFFECTED...SRN MI...NERN IND...NWRN OH

CONCERNING...SEVERE POTENTIAL...WATCH POSSIBLE

VALID 251730Z - 251830Z

CONVECTION WILL CONTINUE TO INCREASE WITH SEVERE STORMS CAPABLE OF
DMGG WINDS AND LARGE HAIL POSSIBLE WITHIN THE NEXT TWO HOURS. AREA
IS BEING MONITORED FOR A POSSIBLE WW.

CU FIELD IS INCREASING ACROSS MI AHEAD OF A WEAK UPPER VORT MAX NOW
TRAVERSING ESEWD TOWARDS LAKE MICHIGAN AROUND THE BASE OF A SHORT
WAVE TROUGH. LAKE BREEZE ALONG THE SWRN MI SHORES AND A DIFFUSE COLD
FRONT ACROSS CNTRL MI HAVE PROVIDED FOCUS FOR CONVECTIVE
INITIATION...AND LITTLE CINH LIKELY REMAINS. TEMPERATURES REACHING
INTO THE LOWER 90S/DEW POINTS IN THE UPPER 60S LOWER 70S IN
COMBINATION WITH STEEP LOW/MID LEVEL LAPSE RATES WILL BE SUPPORTIVE
OF CONTINUED CONVECTIVE DEVELOPMENT IN A VERY UNSTABLE/MOIST
ATMOSPHERE. AS THE UPPER TROUGH CONTINUES TO PROGRESS
SEWD...EFFECTIVE SHEAR WILL GRADUALLY INCREASE THROUGH THE
AFTERNOON...ALLOWING ORGANIZED CLUSTERS OF STORMS CAPABLE OF
PRODUCING DMGG WINDS/LARGE HAIL.

..HURLBUT.. 06/25/2009

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...CLE...DTX...IWX...GRR...

LAT...LON 41038402 40868454 40958606 41698636 42188620 42678598
43088545 43168453 43088345 42528300 41338304 41038402

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