SWODY1
SPC AC 101619
DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1019 AM CST TUE NOV 10 2009
VALID 101630Z - 111200Z
...NO SVR TSTM AREAS FORECAST...
...SYNOPSIS...
LOW AMPLITUDE/PROGRESSIVE FLOW REGIME WILL BE MAINTAINED ACROSS MUCH
OF THE LOWER 48 ASIDE FROM A MID-LEVEL TROUGH INTERACTING WITH
DECAYING T.D. IDA OVER PORTIONS OF THE SERN U.S. AT THE
SURFACE...AN ELONGATED SURFACE FRONT EXTENDS FROM NEW ENGLAND SWWD
TO THE SRN PLAINS. THIS FEATURE WILL CONTINUE TO SLIDE SEWD OVER
PARTS OF THE MID-ATLANTIC AND OH VALLEY. IDA/S CENTER THIS MORNING
WAS ANALYZED NEAR THE FL/AL GULF COAST...AND IT WILL SLOWLY MEANDER
EWD OVER PARTS OF THE FL PANHANDLE THROUGH THE PERIOD ACCORDING TO
LATEST NHC FORECAST.
...NERN GULF COAST...
MORNING VISIBLE SATELLITE/RADAR MOSAIC DATA SHOW A BAND OF
CONVECTION ALIGNED FROM EXTREME SW GA/E FL PANHANDLE SWD INTO THE
E-CNTRL GULF. AS T.D. IDA WEAKENS AND BECOMES MORE HYBRID-LIKE AND
EXTRATROPICAL WITH TIME...LOW LEVEL FLOW FIELDS ARE EXPECTED TO
WEAKEN CONSIDERABLY BY WEDNESDAY MORNING AS THE LOW LEVEL JET BEGINS
TO SLIGHTLY VEER AND SHIFT NWD TO THE GA/CAROLINA PIEDMONT PARTLY IN
RESPONSE TO UPPER TROUGH FROM THE W SHIFTING N AND EWD OVER THE SERN
U.S. WITH THAT SAID...VERY MOIST LOW LEVEL AIR MASS WITHIN MORE
THAN ADEQUATELY SHEARED ENVIRONMENT WILL CONDITIONALLY REMAIN
SUPPORTIVE FOR PERHAPS AN ISOLD DMGG WIND GUST OR TORNADO...MAINLY
WITH ANY ROBUST UPDRAFT LOCATED ALONG THE LOW LEVEL CONFLUENCE ZONE
SPREADING EWD ACROSS THE ERN FL PANHANDLE AND EVENTUALLY INTO THE
BIG BEND/WRN PORTIONS OF THE FL PENINSULA THIS AFTERNOON/EVENING.
..SMITH/EVANS.. 11/10/2009
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