SWOD48
SPC AC 050918
DAY 4-8 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0318 AM CST FRI MAR 05 2010
VALID 081200Z - 131200Z
...DISCUSSION...
LATEST MEDIUM RANGE MODEL GUIDANCE IS IN FAIRLY GOOD AGREEMENT
REGARDING THE PARADE OF STRONG SHORTWAVE TROUGHS THAT WILL INFLUENCE
THE WEATHER ACROSS LOWER LATITUDES NEXT WEEK. THIS ACTIVE PATTERN
WILL ULTIMATELY LEAD TO LOW CONFIDENCE IN THE DAY TO DAY
DETAILS...BUT SOMEWHAT HIGH CONFIDENCE THAT ONE OR MORE POTENTIALLY
SIGNIFICANT CONVECTIVE EVENTS MAY UNFOLD. AT THIS TIME WILL NOT
INTRODUCE AN OUTLOOK FOR ORGANIZED SEVERE...MAINLY DUE TO THE
INITIAL SLOW NWD RETURN OF TRUE MARITIME BOUNDARY LAYER INLAND AND
MODEL INCONSISTENCIES WHICH MAY RESOLVE THEMSELVES CLOSER TO THE
EXPECTED EVENTS.
..DARROW.. 03/05/2010
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