Saturday, September 4, 2010

MESO: Mesoscale Discussion 1789

ACUS11 KWNS 041911
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 041911
MTZ000-IDZ000-042015-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1789
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0211 PM CDT SAT SEP 04 2010

AREAS AFFECTED...CNTRL ID/SWRN MT

CONCERNING...SEVERE POTENTIAL...WATCH UNLIKELY

VALID 041911Z - 042015Z

ISOLATED THREAT OF DMGG WINDS THIS AFTERNOON/EVENING ACROSS THE
HIGHER TERRAIN OF CNTRL ID/SWRN MT. A WW IS NOT ANTICIPATED.

CU FIELD HAS INCREASED OVER THE HIGHER TERRAIN AS DIURNAL HEATING
LEADS TO WEAK DESTABILIZATION. HEIGHT FALLS WITH THE APPROACH OF A
STRONG/COLD UPPER TROUGH AND ADEQUATE MID LEVEL MOISTURE SHOULD
SUPPORT CONTINUED HIGH-BASED THUNDERSTORM DEVELOPMENT. DESPITE
MODEST MID LEVEL FLOW /40 KT/...WEAK INSTABILITY SHOULD LIMIT
OVERALL SEVERITY OF STORMS...WITH AN ISOLATED THREAT OF DMGG WINDS
AS DRY LOW LEVELS/EVAPORATIVE COOLING ENHANCE DOWNDRAFT WINDS.

..HURLBUT.. 09/04/2010

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...TFX...PIH...MSO...BOI...

LAT...LON 45621223 44741333 44841440 45381505 46031495 46701491
47431427 47901348 48101254 48161148 47621118 46361096
45941144 45621223

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