Saturday, October 16, 2010

DAY1SVR: Day 1 Convective Outlook

ACUS01 KWNS 161547
SWODY1
SPC AC 161545

DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1045 AM CDT SAT OCT 16 2010

VALID 161630Z - 171200Z

...NO SVR TSTM AREAS FORECAST...

ZONAL FLOW DEVELOPING OVER MUCH OF CONUS WITH ONLY THE INTERIOR WEST
HAVING ANY POTENTIAL FOR A THUNDERSTORM THREAT. WHILE LAPSE RATES
WILL BE RATHER STEEP THE MINIMAL AMOUNT OF MOISTURE WILL RESULT IN
GENERALLY WEAK INSTABILITY. UPPER LOW S OF AZ IS WEAKENING WITH
STORMS SRN AZ TODAY GENERALLY WEAKER THAN ON FRI. OTRW ISOLATED TO
WIDELY SCATTERED MAINLY DIURNAL HIGH BASED THUNDERSTORMS WITH
GREATEST PROBABILITY MOUNTAINS OF SRN ID AND ACROSS CENTRAL CA AHEAD
OF WEAK APPROACHING TROUGH.

..HALES/HURLBUT.. 10/16/2010

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