SWODY3
SPC AC 140654
DAY 3 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0154 AM CDT THU OCT 14 2010
VALID 161200Z - 171200Z
...DISCUSSION...
UPPER PATTERN WILL TRANSITION TO QUASI-ZONAL IN WAKE OF EXITING ERN
U.S. UPPER TROUGH WITH BELT OF STRONGER WLYS FROM THE NRN ROCKIES
THROUGH THE MID ATLANTIC REGION. CUTOFF UPPER LOW WILL REMAIN IN
WEAK STEERING FLOW AND PERSIST IN VICINITY OF NRN MEXICO AND SRN AZ.
...SRN AZ...
CIRCULATION AROUND UPPER LOW WILL MAINTAIN ZONE OF MID-HIGH LEVEL
MOISTURE ACROSS SRN AZ. STEEP LAPSE RATES...DIABATIC WARMING AND
COOL TEMPERATURES ALOFT WILL CONTRIBUTE TO MARGINAL MLCAPE. HIGH
BASED STORMS WILL LIKELY ONCE AGAIN DEVELOP DURING THE AFTERNOON.
DRY...INVERTED-V BOUNDARY LAYERS WILL PROMOTE A THREAT OF ISOLATED
STRONG GUSTY WINDS WITH SOME OF THE STORMS.
...ELSEWHERE...
A LARGE AREA OF CP HIGH PRESSURE FROM TX THROUGH THE TN AND OH
VALLEYS WILL LIMIT INLAND RETURN OF MOISTURE WITH LOW POTENTIAL FOR
THUNDERSTORMS EXPECTED.
..DIAL.. 10/14/2010
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