SWODY1
SPC AC 191245
DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0645 AM CST WED JAN 19 2011
VALID 191300Z - 201200Z
...NO SVR TSTM AREAS FORECAST...
...SYNOPSIS...
LOW AMPLITUDE CYCLONIC FLOW PRESENT OVER THE LWR 48 WILL AMPLIFY
THIS PERIOD AS HEIGHTS RISE ACROSS THE NE PACIFIC AND DOWNSTREAM
SHORTWAVE TROUGH DEEPENS SE ACROSS THE ERN GRT BASIN/SRN RCKYS.
FARTHER E...DISTURBANCE THAT CROSSED THE CNTRL GULF CST REGION TUE
SHOULD CONTINUE E OFF THE SC CST...ALLOWING HEIGHTS TO SLOWLY
REBOUND OVER FL.
...S FL...
WEAK FRONT ASSOCIATED WITH SC UPR IMPULSE EXPECTED TO SETTLE SLOWLY
S ACROSS CNTRL FL TODAY. WARM LAYER AROUND 15000 FT AND LIMITED LOW
LVL CONVERGENCE SHOULD PRECLUDE TSTM DEVELOPMENT ALONG THE FRONT.
FARTHER S...ISOLD STORMS COULD...HOWEVER...FORM FOR A SHORT TIME
THIS AFTN IN ZONE OF SOMEWHAT GREATER CONVERGENCE INVOF E CST SEA
BREEZE BOUNDARY ALONG OR JUST OFF THE SE FL CST.
...WRN/SRN CO...
AREA OF STEEP LOW TO MID LVL LAPSE RATES AND ASCENT AHEAD OF
AMPLIFYING UPR TROUGH...AND TERRAIN UPLIFT...COULD YIELD SCTD AFTN
CONVECTION AND PERHAPS A FEW LIGHTNING STRIKES OVER WRN AND SRN CO.
BUT SPARSE MOISTURE AND RELATIVELY COOL THERMAL PROFILES SHOULD
LIMIT COVERAGE.
..CORFIDI/BOTHWELL.. 01/19/2011
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